Fenerbahçe 1-1 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.23
Over
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.49
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
21%
2.84
6+
10%
7.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.49 — our 27% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.98
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
9%
10.95
X/X
9%
6.38
2/1
9%
20.35
2/2
6%
8.23
2/X
9%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Fenerbahçe win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros The Market 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.67/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.90
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.1 Crosses 13.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
1-1
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.33 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
520 Passes 221
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe and Ferencvaros shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Fenerbahçe carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 66% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 34%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Ferencvaros?

Fenerbahçe 1-1 Ferencvaros in the UEFA Europa League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 57%, draw 24%, Ferencvaros 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Under 2.5
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