Roma 2-1 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.07
Over
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.83
2-3
39%
1.83
4-5
25%
3.11
6+
11%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.0
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
20%
4.15
X/2
9%
10.9
X/X
8%
5.9
2/1
13%
21.75
2/2
6%
8.66
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Roma win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
59%
+2.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland The Market 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.53/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.82
-10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.5 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
2-1
AWAY Midtjylland
0.84 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
366 Passes 285
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roma vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma edged past Midtjylland 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roma had 54% of the ball to Midtjylland's 46%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Roma vs Midtjylland?

Roma 2-1 Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Roma 62%, draw 19%, Midtjylland 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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