Porto 3-0 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 27 Nov 2025

Porto
3-0 HT 2-0
Nice
📅27/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.15
Over
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.03
2-3
42%
1.85
4-5
25%
3.01
6+
11%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.88
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
17%
4.07
X/2
5%
12.0
X/X
7%
6.32
2/1
9%
21.3
2/2
8%
9.6
2/X
6%
18.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Porto win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
63%
+2.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.5pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice The Market 20%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.59/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.00
-27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.9 Crosses 13.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
3-0
AWAY Nice
1.47 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
439 Passes 320
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Porto vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto swept aside Nice 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Porto had 56% of the ball to Nice's 44%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.47 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Porto vs Nice?

Porto 3-0 Nice in the UEFA Europa League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Porto 65%, draw 18%, Nice 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVL More UEFA Europa League
27 Nov 2025
20:45 Roma vs Midtjylland Analysis →
20:45 Viktoria Plzen vs Freiburg Analysis →
20:45 Feyenoord vs Celtic Analysis →
20:45 Fenerbahçe vs Ferencvaros Analysis →
20:45 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Celta Vigo Analysis →
20:45 PAOK vs Brann Analysis →