Feyenoord 1-3 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.29
Over
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.54
2-3
41%
1.91
4-5
25%
2.83
6+
10%
7.84
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.54 — our 24% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.23
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
25%
4.53
X/2
5%
9.2
X/X
7%
6.12
2/1
8%
20.45
2/2
13%
6.56
2/X
6%
15.15
Value flag · X/1 at 4.53 — our 25% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Feyenoord win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.5pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic The Market 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.90/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.14
-16% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.0 Crosses 9.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Celtic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.85 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
480 Passes 348
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord ŞMP
19.09.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic ŞMP
03.08.2008 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-3 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
1-3
AWAY Celtic
1.85 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
401 Passes 425
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic got the better of Feyenoord 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Feyenoord carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Feyenoord had 49% of the ball to Celtic's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.85 to 1.31 — on chances, Feyenoord could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Feyenoord and 1.67 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Celtic?

Feyenoord 1-3 Celtic in the UEFA Europa League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 58%, draw 18%, Celtic 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Feyenoord), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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