Ludogorets Razgrad vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ludogorets Razgrad v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Ludogorets Razgrad squeezed past Celta Vigo 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 43% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 57%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 2.60 to 2.00.
What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Celta Vigo?
Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Celta Vigo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 26%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo) went the other way.