Export Sebaco 2-0 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.86/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.55
+29% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Matagalpa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.09.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
31.03.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 5-2 HT 3-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
08.11.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-3 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.03.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
10.11.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco got the better of Matagalpa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa?

Export Sebaco 2-0 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 46%, draw 23%, Matagalpa 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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