Farsley AFC 1-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 34% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marine
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2024 Marine Marine 0-3 HT 0-3 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
1-1
AWAY Marine
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farsley AFC and Marine shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marine at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 42% of the ball to Marine's 58%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Marine?

Farsley AFC 1-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 29%, draw 29%, Marine 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marine), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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