Peterborough Sports 0-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.51/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.30
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
05.03.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-4 HT 0-2 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
26.08.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
15.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-2 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
15.11.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-1
AWAY Hereford FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC squeezed past Peterborough Sports 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hereford FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 56% of the ball to Hereford FC's 44%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.40 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Hereford FC?

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 37%, draw 29%, Hereford FC 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Peterborough Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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