Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Scarborough Athletic v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Scarborough Athletic
FAK
1-1
HT 0-1
Chorley
İCON
2-3
HT 2-1
Scarborough Athletic
İCON
3-2
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
Scarborough Athletic 2-3 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley squeezed past Scarborough Athletic 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Scarborough Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 59% of the ball to Chorley's 41%, shots finished 14-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.67 for Chorley.
What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley?
Scarborough Athletic 2-3 Chorley in the England - Conference on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 42%, draw 24%, Chorley 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.