Darlington 1883 0-1 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.57/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.42
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Buxton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İNFAT
20.08.2024 Buxton Buxton 2-0 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
24.02.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
02.09.2023 Buxton Buxton 5-0 HT 3-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
21.02.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
25.10.2022 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
0-1
AWAY Buxton
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton edged past Darlington 1883 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Darlington 1883 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 60% of the ball to Buxton's 40%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.83 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Darlington 1883 0-1 Buxton in the England - Conference on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 41%, draw 24%, Buxton 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Darlington 1883) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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