St. Albans City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.85
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 35% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -17%
1.33/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.51
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
11.11.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-3 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
14.01.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-3 HT 1-2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
29.08.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
07.05.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-3 HT 2-2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
30.11.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-1
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City and Tonbridge Angels shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Albans City had 52% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 48%, shots finished 4-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Albans City and 2.00 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Tonbridge Angels?

St. Albans City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 36%, draw 28%, Tonbridge Angels 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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