Worthing 2-1 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.23/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.01
+73% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Boreham Wood
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-1
AWAY Boreham Wood
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Boreham Wood 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boreham Wood at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Worthing had 68% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 32%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Boreham Wood?

Worthing 2-1 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Worthing 34%, draw 25%, Boreham Wood 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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