Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.98
6+ Goals
11%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
0.99/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.67
-31% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 3.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
16.11.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
31.08.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
13.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İKCK
30.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
03.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
16.12.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic saw off Stranraer 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.17 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 43%, draw 23%, Stranraer 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →