Stranraer 1-2 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
0.93/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.35
-35% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13.12.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
20.09.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
26.04.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 3-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
15.02.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
02.11.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
24.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City nicked a narrow win over Stranraer 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stranraer at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stranraer and 1.17 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Stranraer 1-2 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 43%, draw 28%, Elgin City 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stranraer), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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