Northampton Town 1-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.54
No
40%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.82
2-3
45%
1.79
4-5
26%
2.92
6+
8%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.74
1/2
3%
24.35
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.91
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
15%
5.26
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
23%
3.42
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.35 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Northampton Town The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
242 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 2.15
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
220 Passes 460
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2025 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
05.04.2025 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-4 HT 0-3 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
17.12.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İNTK
09.12.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
05.03.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 5-1 HT 3-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
19.08.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
1 - 1
AWAY Peterborough United
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
192 Passes 327
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
REVIEW Northampton Town vs Peterborough United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Northampton Town and Peterborough United finished all square at 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

The preview numbers (36% / 25% / 39%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

The match data tells the story: Peterborough United saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Northampton Town against 1.83 for Peterborough United.

Northampton Town vs Peterborough United Result & Final Score

Northampton Town 1 - 1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Northampton Town vs Peterborough United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 36%, draw 25%, Peterborough United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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