New York Red Bulls 1-0 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
9.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.37
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.55
X/2
11%
8.35
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
21.4
2/2
7%
6.04
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 16% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.75
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.3 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.84 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
307 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 5-3 HT 0-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
29.03.2025 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
09.06.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
12.05.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-2 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
31.08.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
23.07.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
1-0
AWAY New England Revolution
0.96 xG 0.37
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
462 Passes 203
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 65% of the ball to New England Revolution's 35%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.96 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.50 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution?

New York Red Bulls 1-0 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 55%, draw 22%, New England Revolution 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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