Chicago Fire 3-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.89
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.95
X/1
16%
4.14
X/2
7%
11.15
X/X
11%
6.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.2
2/2
6%
8.55
2/X
5%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.63/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.70
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
15.9 Crosses 14.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
385 Passes 392
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-2 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
30.03.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.09.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.03.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-3 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
17.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
13.07.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-0 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
3-0
AWAY CF Montreal
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
237 Passes 335
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
FAQ Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chicago Fire ran out comfortable winners over CF Montreal 3-0 in the USA - Major League on 28 Feb 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 44% of the ball to CF Montreal's 56%, shots finished 17-4.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.00 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?

Chicago Fire 3-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 55%, draw 25%, CF Montreal 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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