Maitland 1-2 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 43%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.12/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.00
-27% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Weston Bears
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2025 Maitland Maitland 1-2 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
25.05.2024 Maitland Maitland 0-1 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
02.03.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 5-1 HT 2-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
19.08.2023 Maitland Maitland 0-2 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNSW
25.06.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-3 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
01.04.2023 Maitland Maitland 0-1 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears nicked a narrow win over Maitland 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston Bears led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maitland and 2.00 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Maitland vs Weston Bears?

Maitland 1-2 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maitland 34%, draw 24%, Weston Bears 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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