Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.21/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.39
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.2 Crosses 14.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Orense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 303
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
11.03.2025 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
10.11.2024 Orense Orense 0-2 HT 0-2 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
21.05.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
07.10.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-1 HT 2-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.05.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-1
AWAY Orense
0.58 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
256 Passes 171
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 10
45 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Orense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tecnico Universitario at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 58% of the ball to Orense's 42%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.58 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.17 for Orense.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Orense?

Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 41%, draw 27%, Orense 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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