Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tijuana v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tijuana 1-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Tijuana and Pumas UNAM with a point apiece.
Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, Pumas UNAM saw more of the ball, 70% to 30%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.82 to 1.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Tijuana against 2.17 for Pumas UNAM.
Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Result & Final Score
Tijuana 1 - 1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 44%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tijuana), Over 2.5 went the other way.