Sport Huancayo vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Huancayo v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Sport Huancayo vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sport Huancayo 2-1 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Huancayo squeezed past Sporting Cristal 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sport Huancayo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Sport Huancayo had 46% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 54%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.97 to 1.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sport Huancayo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sport Huancayo and 2.67 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Sporting Cristal?
Sport Huancayo 2-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 52%, draw 20%, Sporting Cristal 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Huancayo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.