Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Cienciano — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-3 Cienciano — Actual Match Statistics
Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Cienciano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 55% of the ball to Cienciano's 45%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.61 to 3.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cienciano's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.00 for Cienciano.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-3 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 40%, draw 31%, Cienciano 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), Under 2.5 went the other way.