UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
UTC Cajamarca 0-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over UTC Cajamarca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Alianza Lima found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 46% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 54%, shots finished 8-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.17 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
UTC Cajamarca 0-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 33%, draw 27%, Alianza Lima 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.