Famalicao U23 4-0 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.18
Over 2.5
64%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
42%
-5.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
58%
+5.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.69/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.68
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
08.01.2025 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
16.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
4-0
AWAY Benfica U23
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 ran out comfortable winners over Benfica U23 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Famalicao U23 made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 39% of the ball to Benfica U23's 61%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.25 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23?

Famalicao U23 4-0 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 40%, draw 21%, Benfica U23 39%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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