Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Academia Puerto Cabello v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics
Estudiantes De Merida edged past Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Academia Puerto Cabello at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.57, about 64% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 50%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.54, roughly 65%.
On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 66% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 34%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.85 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Result & Final Score
Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 56%, draw 23%, Estudiantes De Merida 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.