Universitario de Vinto 4-2 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.23/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.60
-39% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.7 Crosses 17.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guabira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
04.08.2024 Guabira Guabira 4-2 HT 1-2 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
31.03.2024 Guabira Guabira 3-1 HT 1-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
21.02.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
01.12.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.06.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
4-2
AWAY Guabira
2.56 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
279 Passes 228
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto saw off Guabira 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 53% of the ball to Guabira's 47%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.56 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.33 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Universitario de Vinto 4-2 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 45%, draw 27%, Guabira 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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