Botev Vratsa 1-0 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 29%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.52/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.32
-59% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
13.05.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
30.03.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
31.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-3 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa edged past Hebar 1918 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.50 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918?

Botev Vratsa 1-0 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 50%, draw 22%, Hebar 1918 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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28 Mar 2025
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