Malaga 0-0 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

Malaga
0-0 HT 0-0
Leganes
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Malaga vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.4
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.37
X/2
8%
8.44
X/X
15%
4.74
2/1
10%
23.95
2/2
6%
6.64
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Malaga win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.24
+26% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.4 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Malaga vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Leganes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 295
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
27.03.2023 Malaga Malaga 2-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
12.10.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
16.04.2022 Leganes Leganes 0-3 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
18.12.2021 Malaga Malaga 0-2 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
24.05.2021 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2

Malaga 0-0 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
0-0
AWAY Leganes
2.33 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
357 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga and Leganes played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Malaga at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Malaga had 54% of the ball to Leganes's 46%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.33 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malaga and 1.00 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Leganes?

Malaga 0-0 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Malaga 55%, draw 26%, Leganes 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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