Albacete vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albacete v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Albacete vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-2
HT 1-1
CD Castellon
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Albacete
İS3
3-1
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS3
Albacete 1-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Albacete and CD Castellon shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Albacete had 37% of the ball to CD Castellon's 63%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.95 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Albacete and 0.83 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Albacete vs CD Castellon?
Albacete 1-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albacete vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Albacete 30%, draw 29%, CD Castellon 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Castellon) went the other way.