Sporting Gijon 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

Sporting Gijon
1-1 HT 1-0
Deportivo La Coruna
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
11%
6.79
X/X
10%
4.01
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.17
2/X
8%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Sporting Gijon win — 44%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Gijon v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.37/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.54
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.6 Crosses 12.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 407
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.09.2025 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
10.05.2025 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
24.11.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.06.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
15.09.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
27.01.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2

Sporting Gijon 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.28 xG 1.13
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 12
267 Passes 573
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon and Deportivo La Coruna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 34% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 66%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.28 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Sporting Gijon 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 44%, draw 24%, Deportivo La Coruna 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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