Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.81/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.01
+32% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sydney United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 2.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.07.2025 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
13.04.2025 Sydney United Sydney United 1-3 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
14.07.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 HT 4-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
07.04.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 1-2 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
16.07.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 3-3 HT 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
02.04.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 3-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United edged past Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rockdale Ilinden at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 1.00 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney United?

Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 41%, draw 29%, Sydney United 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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