Carrick Rangers 6-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.5
X/1
17%
3.98
X/2
7%
12.85
X/X
7%
6.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.1
2/2
12%
10.15
2/X
4%
18.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-4.2pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.51/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.54
-28% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30.12.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
08.11.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
09.08.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-4 HT 3-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
30.12.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
31.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers cruised past Crusaders FC 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.50 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC?

Carrick Rangers 6-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 61%, draw 16%, Crusaders FC 23%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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