Crusaders FC 2-2 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.05
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
10%
6.33
X/2
8%
5.58
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.32
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
1.55/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.41
+31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
09.08.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-4 HT 3-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
30.12.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
31.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.05.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Carrick Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.67 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Crusaders FC 2-2 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 41%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crusaders FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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