Glenavon FC 0-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
5%
7.77
X/2
15%
4.62
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.71
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
1.33/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.34
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
226 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
06.09.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
17.01.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 0-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
21.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
20.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts nicked a narrow win over Glenavon FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.67 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Glenavon FC 0-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 23%, draw 26%, Dungannon Swifts 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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