Coleraine FC 3-1 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.98
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.71
X/2
16%
6.87
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
27.0
2/2
11%
5.29
2/X
5%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.21/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.02
-14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.11.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.10.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
26.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.02.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
14.12.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC saw off Linfield FC 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.50 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Coleraine FC 3-1 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 44%, draw 23%, Linfield FC 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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