Coleraine FC 2-2 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.94
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
11%
4.89
X/2
11%
7.15
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1
14%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.31
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.16/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.17
-16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.02.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
14.12.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
16.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.02.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC and Linfield FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.33 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Coleraine FC 2-2 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 43%, draw 25%, Linfield FC 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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