Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.2
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca The Market 45%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
1.50 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
6 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
16.03.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
30.09.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
15.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-3 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
04.08.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 5-0 HT 4-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
16.03.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 - 1
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Leones Negros Udeg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

A draw from a 40% / 29% / 31% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Alebrijes de Oaxaca's favour, shots finished 25-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Alebrijes de Oaxaca against 2.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg Result & Final Score

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 40%, draw 29%, Leones Negros Udeg 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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