Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.65/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.42
+28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.92 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-4 HT 0-3 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
10.03.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-3 HT 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
01.07.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-2 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
17.04.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 1-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
16.05.2021 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.02.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 HT 2-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden got the better of Wollongong Wolves 3-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rockdale Ilinden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 1.33 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong Wolves?

Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 41%, draw 22%, Wollongong Wolves 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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