Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arema Malang v Persebaya Surabaya — Team-Based Signals
Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Arema Malang
ENDL1
Arema Malang 0-4 Persebaya Surabaya — Actual Match Statistics
Persebaya Surabaya ran out comfortable winners over Arema Malang 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Arema Malang at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Arema Malang had 51% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 49%, shots finished 13-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arema Malang and 1.67 for Persebaya Surabaya.
What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Arema Malang 0-4 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 44%, draw 24%, Persebaya Surabaya 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arema Malang), Under 2.5 went the other way.