URA vs Maroons Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v Maroons — Team-Based Signals
URA vs Maroons Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
URA
UGA
URA 2-2 Maroons — Actual Match Statistics
URA and Maroons couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was URA at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, URA had 52% of the ball to Maroons's 48%, shots finished 11-8.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for URA and 0.75 for Maroons.
What was the final score of URA vs Maroons?
URA 2-2 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs Maroons?
Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split URA 48%, draw 28%, Maroons 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.