BUL 0-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Apr 2026

BUL
0-1 HT 0-1
NEC
📅28/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
42%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.6pp
42%
Away Win
26%
+15.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.9pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.15/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.77
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-2D-1L
AWAY NEC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 NEC NEC 1-1 HT 1-1 BUL BUL UGA
18.12.2024 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 0-1 NEC NEC UGA
24.04.2024 NEC NEC 1-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
0-1
AWAY NEC
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BUL vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC edged past BUL 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, BUL had 54% of the ball to NEC's 46%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, NEC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BUL and 1.00 for NEC.

What was the final score of BUL vs NEC?

BUL 0-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split BUL 32%, draw 26%, NEC 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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