Estudiantes 2-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 27% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.27
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
35.0
X/1
18%
3.63
X/2
6%
35.0
X/X
8%
9.81
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
6%
35.0
2/X
6%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-17.3pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.3pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 8%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.04/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/2.18
+8% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.7
34.5 Crosses 11.4
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Carabobo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.39 xG 0.29
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
433 Passes 213
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
2-0
AWAY Carabobo
1.74 xG 0.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
487 Passes 273
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes beat Carabobo 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes had 60% of the ball to Carabobo's 40%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.74 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Carabobo?

Estudiantes 2-0 Carabobo in the Copa Libertadores on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 63%, draw 21%, Carabobo 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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