Libertad vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Libertad
LKU
1-2
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
LKU
1-2
HT 1-0
Libertad
LKU
4-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Lima
LKU
Libertad 2-2 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad and Alianza Lima couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 62% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 38%, shots finished 13-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Libertad and 1.00 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Alianza Lima?
Libertad 2-2 Alianza Lima in the Copa Libertadores on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Libertad 42%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.