Botafogo 1-0 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.83
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.75
X/1
17%
3.95
X/2
6%
12.85
X/X
8%
5.98
2/1
8%
22.9
2/2
14%
10.85
2/X
7%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +28%
1.95/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.89
+57% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.4 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.32 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
451 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.04.2025 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
1-0
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.51 xG 1.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
215 Passes 439
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Universidad Chile 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Botafogo had 35% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 65%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.51 to 1.22.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Universidad Chile?

Botafogo 1-0 Universidad Chile in the Copa Libertadores on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 52%, draw 23%, Universidad Chile 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ BTTS No
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