Sao Paulo 2-1 Talleres Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.54
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.9
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
15%
4.4
X/2
10%
7.71
X/X
15%
3.56
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
7%
6.84
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.16/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.51
-14% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
Crosses 23.9
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.98 xG 0.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2025 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
30.05.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba LKU
05.04.2024 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
14.02.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba LKU
07.02.2019 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-1
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
1.02 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
354 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo edged past Talleres Cordoba 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 50% of the ball to Talleres Cordoba's 50%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.02 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.80 for Talleres Cordoba.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba?

Sao Paulo 2-1 Talleres Cordoba in the Copa Libertadores on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 49%, draw 29%, Talleres Cordoba 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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