Mekelakeya 1-2 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
0.71/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.88
-32% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.01.2026 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 0-2 HT 0-0 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
15.04.2025 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
29.11.2024 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 1-3 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-2
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema squeezed past Mekelakeya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 63% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 37%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mekelakeya had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mekelakeya and 0.33 for Arba Minch Kenema.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Mekelakeya 1-2 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 49%, draw 25%, Arba Minch Kenema 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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