Dire Dawa Kenema 1-2 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.7pp
35%
Draw
34%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-5.2pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
0.67/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.82
-26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2026 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 4-0 HT 2-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
12.03.2025 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
18.01.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
14.06.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
27.01.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-3 HT 0-3 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis edged past Dire Dawa Kenema 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kedus Giorgis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Dire Dawa Kenema and 1.20 for Kedus Giorgis.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Dire Dawa Kenema 1-2 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 30%, draw 35%, Kedus Giorgis 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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