Awassa Kenema 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.62
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2026 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 HT 1-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
09.03.2025 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
02.10.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.04.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-2 HT 2-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.01.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-2 HT 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-0
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema squeezed past Ethiopia Bunna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Awassa Kenema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 33% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 67%, shots finished 2-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Awassa Kenema and 1.80 for Ethiopia Bunna.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Awassa Kenema 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 35%, draw 32%, Ethiopia Bunna 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Awassa Kenema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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