South Melbourne vs Green Gully Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
South Melbourne v Green Gully — Team-Based Signals
South Melbourne vs Green Gully Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
South Melbourne
AVNPL
1-0
HT 1-0
Green Gully
AVNPL
Green Gully squeezed past South Melbourne 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had South Melbourne at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for South Melbourne and 0.33 for Green Gully.
What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
South Melbourne 1-2 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 57%, draw 17%, Green Gully 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (South Melbourne), BTTS No went the other way.