CRB 2-0 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 Jul 2026

📅28/07/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.40/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.18
+15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.9 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vila Nova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-2 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
15.11.2025 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
23.07.2025 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
05.09.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
18.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
03.09.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
2-0
AWAY Vila Nova
1.94 xG 0.44
22 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 Passes 374
24 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ CRB vs Vila Nova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CRB beat Vila Nova 2-0 in the Brazil - Serie B on 28 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.94 to 0.44.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CRB and 0.83 for Vila Nova.

What was the final score of CRB vs Vila Nova?

CRB 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CRB 48%, draw 28%, Vila Nova 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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